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Opinion-editorials decyphered - 14 September 2005
Pan-Arabism Zeroed In On in Iraq

Decyphering

The support of the war within the U.S. population continues to drop in such a way that Republicans have already begun to show signs of concern ahead of the parliamentary elections to be held in 2006, by mid-term of presidential office. The loss of confidence of George W. Bush’s supporters in a victorious outcome of Iraq has alarmed neo-conservative analyst and Weekly Standard’s director William Kristol, who has launched a call in his publication in favor of a new mobilization. This was followed, in turn, by the Spanish conservative daily ABC. Kristol proclaims that we should trust the White House actions and support a total war in the region, send additional troops to Iraq as requested by Senator John McCain and bomb Syrian cities which could shelter Iraqi insurgents – a program very much like a bloody rush of the process.

At the same time, those U.S. elite members who wished another form of “war against terrorism” are back on stage. Professor Francis Fukuyama has shown concern for the way things are turning in Iraq in a widely spread and published column in the New York Times, the International Herald Tribune, Clarín, El Mundo and Le Monde, before other publications may probably do it. In his opinion, this war has been waged in the name of a neo-conservative ideology, which this time associated to nationalist and isolationist groups, forming a fragile alliance that may fall to pieces in case the Iraqi conflict lasts longer than predicted. If this coalition of interests broke, there would no longer be a majority to support the intervention and Washington could be forced to a shameful retreat. ‘However - said the writer of the “End of History” – ‘another policy could have been applied, such as that of creating a great alliance of western democracies. This would have allowed imposing an imperialist policy through diplomatic and economic pressures’. Francis Fukuyama has therefore expressed his nostalgia for the Clinton’s administration foreign policy, also defended currently by those close to George Soros.
In an interview granted to the German daily Die Welt, former Clinton administration Secretary of State praised that form of imperialism. In this regard, she compared the Kosovo war to that of Iraq. The first was waged with the western world support and brought U.S. traditional allies together around Washington. The second has isolated this country. While strongly criticizing the Bush administration pretexts to justify the attack on Iraq, she defended the “defense duty” – a new, more consensual name for “right to interfere” – developed by the International Crisis Group.
Let’s not forget that Francis Fukuyama is the administrator of NED/CIA and that Madeleine Albright is the president of the democratic branch of this organization. Both points of view can then be interpreted as an attempt of the organization to promote its methods instead of brutal action. Let’s also clarify that John McCain, whose positions are praised by William Kristol, is the president of the republican branch of NED. Therefore, the controversy is limited to the Washington elites over the means to be used and not over the objectives. This internal debate is not intended in the least to stop the progress of the Middle East restructuring plan. They all in Washington agree that the Iraq constitution project is a way to start the division of Iraq. But beyond Iraq’s division, the Arab world fears the death of the Arab nationalism.
According to the former director of the Political Planning Department with Egypt’s Foreign Ministry Abdallah Al-Ashaal, the purpose of the Iraqi constitution is to destroy Arab nationalism under the pretext of removing the Baha’ist. In the Egyptian national daily Al Ahram, he denounced the hypocrisy of the fight against the Baha’is Party. Compared to Nazism or Japanese militarism, this party has been charged with all the evils of Iraq. Has it already been forgotten that it was fully supported by Washington for a long time? And that this process of removal of the Baha’ist is now a way to undermine the foundations of the Iraqi Central State? Right now, the Arab identity of Iraq is threatened to be divided into three states based on ethnic and religious factions. In Abdallah Al-Ashaal’s opinion, such entities would neither be viable and would soon be annexed by their neighbors.
Abdel Bari Atouan – editor-in-chief of the Palestinian daily Al qods Al arabi – also showed his concern in Arabrenewal for the situation in Iraq. He began by attacking the Kurdish President in Iraq Jalal Talabani, whom he accused of wishing to destroy the Arab identity of the country before making it blow up. On the occasion of the death of more than one thousand Shiite pilgrims, Talabani criticized the attitude of the Arab countries for the lack of assistance to the victims and for the Arab States refusal to send ambassadors. Though the Palestinian editorialist agreed with the first point, he kept denouncing the second: no ambassador is sent to a country without sovereignty. Today, the purpose of the government policy is to divide Iraq and not the country’s sovereignty. In Le Figaro, Lebanese atlantist and analyst Antoine Basbous seems to corroborate the analysis in the Arab press. In Basbous’s opinion, the Arab nationalism is the main responsible for the current situation in the Middle East. The media expert is sorry about the way things have developed in Iraq. According to him, the U.S. invasion set free dormant forces till then by triggering Islamism and extremists of all kinds. He said that Iraq’s division is inevitable, not because it was a war objective of the U.S. but because all communities are willing to face each other from now on. He also predicted that this tendency would grow on in the whole region. But in his view, whether this situation is attributable to the U.S., it is a lot more attributable to the Arab nationalism, which was only able to beget a stagnant political order the consequences of which are now visible.
This way, Basbous confirmed that the Pan-Arabic movement is one of the top priority targets of the “war of ideas” that the Bush administration claims to have triggered in the Middle East. In the face of these concerns, the U.S. ambassador/proconsul in Iraq Zalmay Khalilzad tries hard to show himself reassuring in the Washington Post. The Iraq constitution does not divide Iraq; it only enables the reunification of a country that was already divided before the invasion. It gives Iraqis many rights. The trading process will create bridges among the communities. An idealized vision of the situation that is not likely to persuade many.

Voltaire Network




14 September 2005

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 Control of the "Great Middle East"

Authors and Sources of Op-Eds Decyphered

“The war presidency”

Author William Kristol

 [William Kristol] is the head of the editorial staff of the Weekly Standard and president of the Project for the New American Century.

Sources Weekly Standard, ABC (Spain)
Reference “The War Presidency”, by William Kristol, Weekly Standard, September 5, 2005.
The War Presidency”, ABC, September 1st, 2005.

Summary On August 24, 2005, George W. Bush reaffirmed that the terrorists would not make us giving up Iraq and that we would succeed in the war against terrorism. It was important to say it clearly at a time when some people, among which advocates of the president, started to say that the war against terrorism was not a real one or that Iraq was not part of it. The president recalled that there was no room for terrorism in his approach, even in regard to an anticipated withdrawal from Iraq. There is the fear within the Republican Party that the case of Iraq may result in a defeat in the elections of 2006. Bush, for his part, will not let his policy be led by the fear and hesitation of the Republican congressmen. It would be better that they support the president more actively or back the constructive criticisms by John McCain.
Today, even George Will, of the Washington Post, feels that the desire to democratize Iraq was illusory and nowadays we run the risk of carrying out an excessive deployment of our forces. Based on this argument, Will rejected the proposal that appeared in our columns about bombing the cities of the Syrian-Iraqi border that help terrorists enter Iraq. But, what is the point of the excessive deployment of our air force? It is important to mobilize again our allies and win the war against terrorists. Bush’s speech is well-oriented, but the president has to keep the country informed about the war and urge to maintain the moral high. The success of Bush’s presidency depends upon his success as Commander in Chief.

“ The invasion of the isolationists”

Author Francis Fukuyama

 Francis Fukuyama is a professor of International Economic Policy at the School of Advanced International Studies of Johns Hopkins University. He is the author of La fin de l’histoire and, more recently, of Our Posthuman Future. He is the administrator of the National Endowment for Democracy and administrated the Rand Corporation. He worked as an expert in the Department of State->http://www.state.gov/].

Sources International Herald Tribune (France), Le Monde (France), Clarin (Argentina), El Mundo (Spain), New York Sun (United States)
Reference “Invasion of the Isolationists”, by Francis Fukuyama, New York Times, August 31, 2005.
Bush was wrong about the war in Iraq″, Clarin, September 1st, 2005.
Invasión of the Isolationists”, El Mundo, September 1st, 2005.
Isolationist invasion”, International Herald Tribune, September 1st, 2005.
Irak: le gâchis américain″, Le Monde, September 7, 2005.

Summary Four years after September 11, is the U.S. foreign policy the result of the political culture of the United States? And to what extend is it determined by the particularities of the current president and his administration? It may be considered that Washington is just following its political tradition. The United States has frequently chosen unilateralism when it has been forced to do it and the idealist rhetoric has often accompanied it. However, the decisions made as of September 11 do not match with this tradition.
After the attacks, the Americans would have followed the White House anywhere. After the fall of the Talibans, the United States decided to resolve an old dispute that had little to do with Al Qaeda: Iraq. By doing it, The Bush administration misused the white card given by the population and moved away its closest allies. Washington could have built an alliance among democracies to modernize the Middle East, intensify sanctions against Iraq and establish a new international system to fight against nuclear proliferation. A similar attitude would have given continuity to the traditional U.S. policy.
The policy of the Bush administration is mostly led by the neoconservatives than by the impulse of the conservative Christians. This trend is associated to what Walter Russel Mead calls “Jacksonian United States”, those nationalists who are advocates of a furious isolationism. The lack of justifications about the weapons of mass destruction and links with Al Qaeda to legitimize the war in Iraq made George W. Bush adopt an idealist speech, only neoconservative. The transformation of the “Great Middle East”, therefore, became the central axis of the U.S. foreign policy. Bush’s Jacksonian foundation, which provides most of the troops that are on service or that have died in Iraq, does not have any natural relation with such policy, but it did not want to abandon the Commander in Chief in the middle of the war. However, it is a fragile alliance.
If the Jacksonians started to think that the war could not be won, they would not support a conflict focused on promoting democracy. This would have an impact on the primary Republican elections of 2008. Therefore, everything will depend on the course of the war. The army is not prepared to face a long term insurrection. We do not know what would be the outcome of the war in Iraq. But we know that four years after September 11, the U.S. foreign policy as a whole seems to come out with glory or insignificance from a war marginally linked to what happened that day in the United States.

“Bush policy is not unilateral, but one-dimensional”

Author Madeleine K. Albright

 Madeleine K. Albright was American Secretary of State of the Clinton Administration (1997-2001) and ambassador to the United Nations (1993-1997). She chairs the National Democratic Institute, a satellite institution of the National Endowment for Democracy.

Source Die Welt (Germany)
Reference “Bush-Politik ist nicht einseitig, sondern eindimensional″, by Madeleine Albright, Die Welt, September 7, 2005. Text adapted from an interview.

Summary Things happen in Iraq completely different from what the president expected: no weapons of mass destruction were found, we were not welcomed as liberators, oil does not run as expected, the situation has turned more difficult. Women’s rights have diminished and links with Iran are much closer. And I am worried that the shariah be “the” source of law and not “one” of its sources. Also, I am concerned about the territorial integrity of the country. But none of the above will make us give up. The war in Iraq was something planned, but it was not essential. Our commitment, however, is no longer a question of will, but it is something indispensable.
The war in Kosovo was “our war” in the sense that Bill Clinton and myself were convinced that we had to put an end to the ethnic purges and allow the Muslims to recover their homeland. We achieved that objective, but what we could not do was to define a clear status for Kosovo. The objectives of Kosovo were different from those of Iraq. Bush’s speech has changed very often. First, it was the overthrow of Saddam and the weapons of mass destruction. Then democracy in the Middle East and women’s right. Today, the administration’s concern seems to be to ensure minimum security.
Contrary to John Deutsch, former director of the CIA who criticized the “humanitarian hawks” of the Bush and the Clinton administrations and advocated that we had to take care only about the defense of our national interests, I make a distinction between Bush’s preventive war policy and the “right of defense” that I recommend. In Kosovo, we did not try to establish a multi-ethnic society, but tried to avoid it from plunging into bloodshed.
Although Gorbatchov believes it so, we were not trying to diminish the Russian influence in Kosovo; it was about the project “a free and united Europe”; the Russians wanted sort of a Slavic solidarity. We did not occupy the former Yugoslavia and had no intentions to do that. All ethnic groups should focus on Brussels when it comes about their future. However, I understand that with what is happening in Iraq, some may raise questions, of a retrospective nature, about the intentions of the United States in Kosovo.
The U.S. military should only intervene in places where there are people that will suffer ethnic purges. The problem of the Bush administration is not being unilateral, but one-dimensional. Everything is seen through the perspective of September 11, as if there was not anything else in the world. The United States, more than any other country, has the necessary potential to do good.

“The end of Arab Iraq”

Author Abdallah Al-Ashaal

 Abdallah Al-Ashaal was director of the Political Planning department of the Egyptian Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

Source Al-Ahram (Egypt)
Reference “The end of Arab Iraq”, by Abdallah Al-Ashaal, Al Ahram, September 1st, 2005.

Summary The debate about the constitution project in Iraq is intense due to the rumors concerning the U.S. involvement when it was drafted. Peter W. Galbraith asserts that this text is appropriate for a divided country, thus refuting the accusations that this text was aimed at dividing Iraq. The Bush administration, for its part, evades the rumors about its implication by recalling that the United States also drafted the German and Japanese constitutions to eliminate Nazism and Japanese militarism. The Iraqi constitution, therefore, would equally try to avoid any resurgence of Baasism.
Is it possible to establish a comparison between Nazism, Japanese militarism and Baasism? It was Japan that attacked Pearl Harbour and Germany the one that declared the war to Europe. In Iraq, the aggressor is the United States. Besides, contrary to what the United States wants, the Baas party has not only affected the Shia and Kurds, but also all the Iraqis. More importantly: it should not be ignored that when Iraq attacked Iran, it had the unconditional support of Washington, which then forgot Saddam Hussein’s crimes. Neither should be hidden the fact that when Iraq invaded Kuwait, it had been encouraged by the United States. The Nazis acted in defense of the German interests, the Baas did it in the interests of the United States.
The constitutional text is a concern. It is preparing the division of Iraq after having denied its Arab identity. The text indicates that Iraq belongs to the Muslim world and part of its people belong to the Arab world. A high degree of fragmentation included in this constitution favors a future division. The U.S. project favors the Kurds but not the Arabs. It is very unlikely that the country continues to be a member of the Arab League.
The three countries that will be born from the fragmentation of Iraq will not be feasible. Kurdistan will be a victim of Turkey or Iran, the Shiite part will be annexed by Tehran and the Sunni part by an Arab country. Was that the initial project of the United States?

“Talabani and the Arab identity of Iraq”

Author Abdel Bari Atouan

 Abdel Bari Atouan was editor in chief of the Asharq Alaousat newspaper from 1984 to 1988, then he became editor in chief of the Palestine paper Al qods Al arabi, published in London. He is known for his position of support of the Arab countries, which he does not quit defending publicly during his interviews broadcast by CNN, BBC…etc.

Source Arabrenewal (Arabia Saudita)
Reference “الطالباني وعروبة العراق″,by Abdel Bari Atouan, Arabrenewal, September 6, 2005.

Summary Some days after the death of nearly one thousand Shiite pilgrims in the stampede occurred on a bridge in Bagdad, Jalal Talabani does not stop criticizing strongly the Arab countries, which, according to the Iraqi president, have not only refused to establish true diplomatic relations with his country but also hesitated to present their condolences and offer their support to the Iraqi people. Obviously, the victims who run off in confusion had to be assisted, especially if they were our Arab brothers who deserve the millions of dollars that our governments have sent to the victims of hurricane Katrina. But that does not prevent Talabani from being wrong as to the issue of diplomatic representation.
Fortunately, Talabani criticized the Arab countries, pointing out that Iraq is part of the Arab world, and especially because it urged, together with other responsible ones for the puppet government, to burry the Arab identity of Iraq. Even worse, his collaborator Barzani is allergic to all texts of the new constitution, in which the Arab or Muslim identity is confirmed. Therefore, how come that the Arab character of Iraq is rejected when the Arab governments are continuously requesting to send their Ambassadors to Baghdad? How come that they accept to divide the country and change its identity? Talaban runs a country under the direct occupation of the United States, and the international law bans the establishment of diplomatic relations with a State without sovereignty.
If we start by assuming that the Iraqi government is legal, could Talaban and Jaafari ensure the security of the Arab ambassadors? Could they prevent what happened in Egypt and Algeria from not repeating again? If they cannot ensure their own security, how are they going to ensure that of the Arab ambassadors? The conditions in Iraq increasingly worsen and the Iraqi citizen, a witness of the democracy imposed by the U.S. tanks, does not have even water to drink. That is why, we ask the puppet president to admit that his U.S. allies have killed a hundred thousand Iraqis by means of an occupation that has been possible thanks to people like himself. Therefore, he is, in first place, who has to present his condolences to the families of the Iraqi martyrs before asking the Arab countries to do so.
The president of the puppet government of Iraq implements a dictatorship and tyranny in order to divide the country and eliminate the regional role of Baghdad. It would only serve the interests of the Bush administration and those of the Hebrew State. The fact that Talabani is the president of Iraq does not bother us, as long as it is a sovereign Iraq, united and democratic, not a country under the U.S. occupation. The day when the new Iraq comes out of its U.S. environment to take its place back in the Arab world, the ambassadors will return without being invited.

“A complete dead-end and a foreseeable decomposition”

Author Antoine Basbous

 Antoine Basbous is the founder and director of the Observatory of the Arab Countries of Paris. Author of L’Arabie saoudite en guerre (Saudi Arabia at War).

Source Le Figaro (France)
Reference “Une impasse totale et une décomposition prévisible”, by Antoine Basbous, Le Figaro, September 2, 2005.

Summary The future of Iraq seems dark. It could rapidly turn into a platform to export chaos to the region and a sanctuary for Al Qaeda. Today, regardless of the fate of the constitutional draft, Iraq exhibits all the elements necessary for the outbreak of a civil war. Tensions among ethnic and religious groups increase while the Syrian and Iranian influence damages the stabilization plans of the United States.
Blind with its ideological convictions, Washington made many mistakes when it did not take into account the Iraqi reality. Those errors translated into a strengthening of the extremist forces. It is a pity that secular and trans-community parties almost do not exist and have so little influence. The Shiites have developed two parties very close to Tehran: the ASRII and the Al-Dawaa. They owe a lot to Iran and have a great debt with the Sunnis. As to the latter, the political scenario is shared by those who feel nostalgia for the Baas party and Zarkaui’s Islamists. However, George W. Bush wants to begin a withdrawal to limit the damages in the elections of 2006, which will inevitably lead to an outbreak in the country. Starting from this premise, the minorities would try to be heard in the region, opening the way for a global redefinition of its borders.
This situation contravenes the US plans of democratization, struggle against Islamism and its intentions to obtain its autonomy with respect to the Saudi oil. Regarding Islamism in Iraq, it is prospering in its two versions: Shiite and Sunni. The remarkable effect caused by the US intervention in Middle East is that it significantly changed the sclerotic “Arab order”. For this reason, the renunciation of certain countries like Libya to their nuclear programs is a positive fact, or also the expulsion of the Syrian army from Lebanon. However, the fact the United States is bogged down in Iraq, allows Iran to challenge the international community. It is also the consequence of the Arab nationalism that has created an authoritarian order, sometimes dynastic, and which is sclerotic today.

“Politics Breaks Out In Iraq”

Author Zalmay Khalilzad

 Former pupil of Albert Wohlstetter, then assistant to Paul Wolfowitz whose doctrine of the United States as the only super power he wrote, Zalmay Khalilzad was an expert on Islamist movements at the State Department during the first war of Afghanistan and the Gulf War, later he was a researcher at the Rand Corporation and advisor of Unocal in Central Asia. He was one of the founders of the Project for a New American Century and headed the transition team of President Bush to the Pentagon. Currently, he is a special ambassador to Iraq alter he held a similar position in Afghanistan.

Source Washington Post (United States)
Reference “Politics Breaks Out In Iraq”, by Zalmay Khalilzad, Washington Post, September 5, 2005.

Summary Iraq’s draft constitution should be evaluated on two standards: its ability to turn Iraq into a real democracy and its potential to maintain Iraqis together and to undermine insurgency. It met the first test and it will face the second when Iraqis vote in the October 15 referendum.
The constitutional draft enshrines values and structures that should aid in the democratization of the country, its stabilization, starting from universal values and the Iraqi tradition. Thanks to this text, all Iraqis are equal before the law and have all their rights guaranteed. It protects the rights of personal privacy, the freedom of movement, expression and association. It also states that all defendants are innocent until proven guilty. It also states that women should hold no less than 25% of seats in the legislature. Like in Israel, the debate between religious and civil law is not solved in this constitutional draft.
The structure of the government allows to support the democratic transition and can help in building bridges among communities. The status of the Kurdistan will not evolve until the election of the Assembly. The process of drafting the constitution already created bridges among communities and the United States will continue to encourage Iraqis to unite.

 



Themes
001.September 11th, 2001
001.September 11th, 2001
- No Hard Evidence Connecting Bin Laden to 9/11

- Brzezinski confirms that the United States can organise attacks in their own territory

- Does anybody still believe in the official version?

- Three US rap stars denounce the September 11th lie

- The «Scholars for 9/11 Truth» rejected the official version

- + + +


911 Investigations
Information base about the 9/11th attacks


Pentagate by Thierry Meyssan


Gulf Investigations
Information base about Gulf wars


 

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