|

|
 |
|
Opinion-editorials decyphered - 9 February 2006
Deterrence: What did Jacques Chirac really mean?
Decyphering
Last January 19, French President Jacques Chirac gave an eagerly awaited speech in Landivisiau before France’s strategic air and naval forces. Chirac’s speech, which dealt with the French nuclear doctrine, has been largely discussed and commented by international media outlets which allowed readers to find what they wanted to read about.
_In the speech, mainly the western media saw the announcement of a French strategic orientation, which from that moment on, would make «terrorism-supporting countries» a potential target for nuclear attacks. That is to say, another step by France towards the Bush doctrine. But in fact, there is nothing in the President’s speech that formally guarantees the accuracy of such an interpretation, although it must not be completely disregarded.
The deterrence doctrine is based on the use of threat. It must address all with no exception and nobody in particular. Speeches on the issue generalize and abstain from making particular references. That way, such speeches may lead to countless interpretations, especially when some try, wrongfully, to interpret them as to current reality.
First of all, we must look at the part of the presidential speech which strongly drew attention: « As I pointed out shortly after the September 11, 2001 events, nuclear deterrent is not aimed at dissuading fanatical terrorists. However, the leaders of those nations, who would resort to terrorist means against us, as well as those who may consider the use, in any ways, of weapons of mass destruction, must understand that they will expose themselves to a firm and adequate response on our part. That response may be conventional, but it can also be of another kind».
_As it can be proved, the French President does not announce the fact that a state which supports a terrorist action against France would face a nuclear response, but «a firm and adequate response», which can be everything or just anything. Moreover, such a «firm and adequate response» is not to be implemented against a state that may support a terrorist action, but also against a state that may consider the use of weapons of mass destruction.
Jacques Chirac also makes another two points clear: France takes the right to use nuclear weapons against a state which does not have nuclear weapons and it would attack first.
_France replaces the terms conventional weapons or nuclear weapons with a new classification: classic or mass destruction weapons, which also includes chemical, bacteriological and nuclear weapons at the same level. From this point, nuclear fire may prevent or respond to a chemical or a bacteriological attack.
_Above all, France openly rejects the US doctrine, the so-called «Bush-Wolfowitz», which advocates the use of atomic bombs to attack facilities of groups considered as «terrorists», such as the bases of Hamas in Syria or those of Hezbollah in Lebanon.
For that reason, Jacques Chirac states that all he is doing is reaffirming France’s traditional nuclear doctrine, adapting it to current reality.
_That opinion is shared by French atlantist analyst with the Foundation for Strategic Research Bruno Tertrais, in the French conservative daily Le Figaro. Tetrais welcomes the French President’s statements and, like Jacques Chirac, he points out that the military doctrine has not changed, since the point is about applying the great principles on «new threats». Therefore, the author does not tackle the issues stated on the text at all, while he only considers that Jacques Chirac has acted appropriately by recalling the usefulness of France’s deterrent forces.
_France’s former socialist Prime Minister Michel Rocard is much more concerned about the statements given by Chirac. In Le Monde, he interprets them as a warning to states. which harbour terrorists. Based on this interpretation, he assures that it is a wrong policy that can not yield good results, since the countries where terrorist groups are based can not do anything, in most cases. On the other hand, their populations could feel threatened and thus strengthen terrorist groups as their defence against a hostile power.
As a consequence, he urges Jacques Chirac to withdraw his statements and instead, commit France to an international disarmament initiative along nuclear states which are signatory of the Non-proliferation Treaty.
The debate that stemmed from the speech by the French President was not limited to the national media. It was largely dealt with by the international press with different interpretations.
_In the Arab press, the speech is seen rather positively or with certain flexibility.
_Egyptian journalist Abdel Adim Hanafi welcomes Jacques Chirac’s position in the Arabic language British newspaper Elaph. In his opinion, France’s insistence in the nuclear issue is aimed at freeing France first and Europe later from US tutelage in the military field, and push Iran to the bargaining table. This approach makes us think that the author was mainly interested in the part of the speech, in which Chirac asserts that France has got rid of pressures by the other big powers thanks to its nuclear program. However, it is not clear yet where such an independence lies if we take into account that the French President has directly threatened Iran, thus following the US strategic interest. No doubts that in this article, Jacques Chirac is benefited by the indulgent treatment of the western leader who rejected the invasion of Iraq, disregarding the re-alignment of France with Washington’s position in the cases of Haiti, Syria and then Iran.
In the Iraqi newspaper Newsabah, the editorialist of the Arabic language Lebanese daily Assafir, Joseph Samaha, considers the French President’s attitude as normal in the international context. The world is undergoing increasing instability and it will face a destabilizing economic crisis very soon. Therefore, France shows its nuclear potential and threatens in order to gain strength in the international arena, which is a logical attitude.
In La Padania, the paper of the extreme-right secessionist Italian movement, La Liga del Norte, its leader Umberto Bossi is not alarmed either about the statements of the French President, but he appears to be much more sarcastic than Arab analysts. In a despising manner, he sees in Chirac’s statements the continuity of his opposition to the war in Iraq. In 2002 and 2003, Jacques Chirac did not looked for peace with the same impetus he insisted in the importance of France for the world, and now, his most recent statements pursue that same objective: revealing that France counts on the concert of nations. Former Government Minister Berlusconi considers that, at present, Jacques Chirac has chosen to exist by means of the threat against Iran.
This interpretation of a masked threat against Teheran is widely shared by the international press, particularly by the Iranian press.
That way, the Teheran Times, in an unsigned editorial and which involves the whole paper staff, is concerned about the statements of the French President. The paper reads in the speech a rapprochement by Paris of Washington’s strategic options and it gets alarmed at noticing that France is willing to use its weapons in a preventive way against a non-nuclear state. Without openly stating it, the daily fears that the President addresses Iran in his speech and it expresses concern on:
Why does France, committed to oppose the war in Iraq, adopt a nuclear doctrine close to that of the United States and why does it appear so threatening?
In the Washington Times, lawyer, novelist and US neoconservative propagandist Alan Topol says he has the answer to that question: the violent actions that occurred in French suburbs had the same impact on the French strategic thinking as that of the September 11, 2001 attempts in the United States! He assures that the speech marks a turning point for France. By asserting through the quotes of Jean-Marie Le Pen (presented as a French diplomat) that France has known a civil war orchestrated by the Arab states and Iran, he says that the country then understood the proportion of the «yihadist» threat and is now determined to follow the United States in a joint bombardment of Iran along with the German and the British.
In the same daily, the director of the pro-Moon daily Arnaud de Borchgrave presents an analysis which is radically different and less prone to fantasizing, indeed. He regrets the statements given by the French President. He thinks that Jacques Chirac only said those words only to justify the French nuclear budget in the eyes of public opinion, but that no nuclear goal may be technically considered among the countries that could match the picture which the commentator identifies in the presidential speech. For Borchgrave, the only two possible targets are Syria and Iran. If Syria were reached by a nuclear missile it would be erased from the map and, if it that were the case of Iran, oil prices would skyrocket to 200 dollars. In all, it is not desirable. But even so, this speech is not going to favour relations and negotiations with Teheran, it will make Iran to equip itself with a nuclear deterrent force as well.
The spokesperson of the French diplomacy on his part recalled that the President’s speech mentioned a general doctrine and did not point towards any state in particular and, for sure it did not point towards Iran.
Voltaire Network
|
 |
|

9 February 2006
From
Paris (France)
Tools

Print
Send
All the versions of this article:

français
Español
Countries
France
Themes
Nuclear Issues
Authors and Sources of Op-Eds Decyphered
|
 |
«President Jacques Chirac’s speech during his visit to naval and air strategic forces»
Author
Jacques Chirac

 |
 |
Jacques Chirac is the President of the French Republic.
|
Source
Press services of the Elysée (France)
Reference «Speech by Sr. Jacques Chirac, president of the French Republic, during his visit to the naval and air strategic forces », by Jacques Chirac, press services the Elysée , January 19, 2006. Text adapted from a speech given in Landivisiau - Ile Longue / Brest, to the naval and air strategic forces of France.
Summary It’s a great pleasure for me to meet with women and men, military and civilians, who are involved in a fundamental mission for our independence and security: the nuclear deterrent. Our nuclear deterrent national force was created thanks to our efforts and represents what France is capable of making when a goal is set. I’d like to pay tribute to those experts and military men who were involved, and still are, in those efforts.
The bipolar world is over, but threats against peace have not disappeared. Radical ideas advocating for the clash of civilizations, cultures and religions are spread in many countries and such ideology leads to horrible attacks. Such crimes remind us that fanaticism can bring about all kinds of crazy things and, in the future, things could be even worse and states could be involved. The war on terror is one of our priorities but we can’t limit our security and defence issues to this necessary combat. Our world changes constantly and new power centres emerge quickly. There’s nothing to cause hostility between the centres, but we are not protected against this eventuality. In addition, our world is characterized by the emergence of power reaffirmations based on the possession of nuclear, biological or chemical weapons. This made the Security Council recognized that the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and their missiles were a real threat for international peace and security. The persistence of the most traditional risks of regional instability can’t be ignored either.
In view of these threats, France has chosen prevention, first of all. But to believe that prevention is enough to protect ourselves would be naive. Sometimes, when it’s necessary, force must be used. Therefore, we must count on an important capacity of intervention beyond our borders with conventional weapons to support and accomplish this strategy. Nuclear deterrent is the direct extension of our policy of prevention. It allows us to control our acts too. At the same time, we support international efforts regarding general and complete disarmament as well as the negotiation of a treaty prohibiting the production of fissile material for nuclear weapons.
The integrity of our territory, the protection of our population and the free exercise of our sovereignty will always be the core of our vital interests, but they are more than that. The perception of these interests changes with the evolution of the world, a world characterized by the increasing interdependence of the European countries and the effects of globalization. For example, the security of our strategic supplies or the defence of the allied countries are among the interests to be protected. The President of the Republic must take into account the threats or blackmails against our interests. As I said just after September 11, 2001 attacks, nuclear deterrent is not aimed at deterring fanatic terrorists. However, the leaders of those nations, who would resort to terrorist means against us, as well as those who may consider the use, in any ways, of weapons of mass destruction, must understand that they will expose themselves to a firm and adequate response on our part. That response may be conventional, but it can also be of another kind.
Our means of nuclear deterrent have been adapted to the world we live in. We can provoke all kind of damages to a great power that would attack the interests we consider to be vital. Against a regional power, our answer wouldn’t be inaction or annihilation. The flexibility and reaction capacity of our strategic forces will allow us to directly counterattack those power centres and their capacity to act. Our nuclear forces have been made up based on this spirit.
But our concept with regard to the use of nuclear weapons is still the same. We wouldn’t use nuclear means with military purposes in a conflict. These are «not-to-be-used weapons». However, they’re still a threat for the leaders that would attack our vital interests. The basic principles of our doctrine of deterrence have not changed but the way in which they are expressed has evolved and changes constantly to allow us to face the XXI century. The missiles of our deterrent force must be modernized too not to lose their effectiveness. Even if it is not completely effective, France has promised to do a common reflection with the rest of the members of the Atlantic Alliance about the development of an anti-missile system to complete our deterrence capacity.
Today, 10% of our defence budget is aimed at nuclear deterrence. Less than this would be an irresponsible act for it defends the US and the European continents. In 1995, France presented the ambitious idea of having a joint deterrence force with the purpose of favouring the European reflection about the issue. I’m still convinced that, at the proper time, we should talk about a common defence. _ As Commander of the Armies and on behalf of the French people, I’d like to express the appreciation and gratitude of the nation to those who are involved in this essential mission.
Thank you very much.

«The virtues of the French nuclear deterrent»
Author
Bruno Tertrais
Source
Le Figaro (France)
Reference “Les vertus de la dissuasion nucléaire française”, by Bruno Tertrais, Le Figaro, January 21, 2006.
Summary In his acceptance speech of the Nobel Prize 2005, economist Thomas Schelling pointed out that the most important event of the last sixty years has been the non use of the nuclear weapon. He made emphasis on how important the nuclear matter was still at the beginning of this XXI century.
The President of the Republic had three good reasons to speak about the role of the French nuclear deterrent on Thursday: deterrence needs a strong and repeated public expression and time had gone by since the issue was discussed the last time: it’s important to maintain the legitimacy of the nuclear effort in the public opinion and the armies; it was necessary to clarify the ambiguities of the French strategic doctrine. This clarification confirms that nothing has changed: the doctrine is still exclusively oriented to the deterrence of any form of aggression against our «vital» interests which go beyond the national territory and whose limits were assessed by the President of the Republic. What changed was the expression of this doctrine. Recalling that deterrence was a life assurance aimed at preventing a bigger threat was useful.
With regard to regional powers, deterrence would not only be implemented, as we know since the speech given in June, 2001, on the power centres of the enemy but, and this is new, against their «capacity to act». This means that deterrence would be aimed at the leaders and their means of action. The French Head of State also warned that the countries, which would use terrorist groups to avoid deterrence could be punished and he made emphasis on the role deterrence has in our concept of defence. From now on, it’s the last expression of «prevention» and a necessary element in the management of a crisis: if France can intervene anywhere in the world it’s because it’s protected against the blackmail of a power that would like to prevent us from defending our interests.
We can regret that no progress was attained with regard to the Europeanization of deterrence, but the President expressed his firm belief on the inevitable character of the establishment of a common defence including deterrence.

"Nuclear escalation: danger"
Author
Michel Rocard
Source
Le Monde (France)
Reference “Surenchère nucléaire : danger”, by Michel Rocard, Le Monde, January 26, 2006.
Summary Mister President, on January 19 you gave an important speech in which you reminded our country the fundamental principles that make up our defence policy. But, even when it’s important for the French population to know how we defend our vital interests, having irrefutable decisions about this is also essential. However, that’s not the case.
The usefulness of the French nuclear deterrent has been debated since the end of the Cold War. You have just added another element to this discussion by stating clearly that our deterrence should focus on terrorist states too. This is a dangerous innovation.
I think both polemic issues must be separated. During the Cold War, the French converted in a massive way to the idea related to the importance of French deterrence. Due to the fact that the United States adopted the doctrine of flexible counterattack since 1962, which stated that the United States would not use the atomic weapon if the USSR did not use it, the USSR had the possibility of invading western Europe without receiving a nuclear response even when, in this last case, the clauses of the North Atlantic Treaty would be implemented and the United States would put an end to the occupation. By withdrawing the French Forces from NATO, General De Gaulle allowed the reestablishment of the total autonomy of the French decision. Any sudden movement of the Soviet army created a difficult-to-imagine, although huge, instant risk. Kissinger and McNamara, on their part, made known this analysis they both shared: the uncertainty founded by France had a decisive role in peacekeeping. This argument created a consensus about nuclear deterrent in France.
The Warsaw Pact was dissolved after the Cold War but our answer was the extension of NATO and the exclusion of Russia, condemning it to our perpetual distrust, something that has provoked its current rearmament. We were mute witnesses of the American mistake, which consisted in the extension of NATO when what was actually needed was its dissolution. Nonetheless, we also witnessed, from that moment on, a mutual disarmament. And nowadays, there’s no strategist in the world capable of inventing another scenario of crisis in which using the nuclear weapon would be appropriate. There’s no one to be deterred. When you interrupted the nuclear tests, the world thought that France had endorsed the option of nuclear disarmament and was, therefore, determined to put into practice Article 6 of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. There are no possible comparisons between the imminent danger of proliferation (which would be better faced if the nuclear powers were really disarmed) and the management of hypothetical conflicts that will take place in the distant future. However, instead of turning France into the initiator of a disarmament programme, you follow the steps of the United States, Russia and China, which reform and reinforce their nuclear arsenal. Besides, you entrust a new mission to our nuclear forces: to deter terrorist states.
Nuclear energy is not appropriate for terrorism. The destruction of terrorists, their refuges and means will be considered to be much more legitimate if less collateral damage was caused. We will destroy all these movements by means of intelligence, the use of special services and the economic boom that will release the population from despair. To threaten terrorist states that shelter terrorists (reluctantly, usually) with a nuclear counterattack is not appropriate and could be taken by those countries, Muslims mainly, as a general threat against their societies as soon as terrorists seek refuge there. This attitude can only bring about the disapproval by the international community with the exception of the United States and its current presidency. The current leaders of the most-infested-with-terrorists countries, Pakistan and Saudi Arabia, say they are and want to be friends of the West. How are you going to explain to them what you have just said?
Mister President, there’s no reason to feel embarrassed if you retract, the world will appreciate it.

"Chirac’s statements and the French nuclear strategy"
Author
Abdel Adim Hanafi
|
Abdel Adim Hanafi est journaliste et expert dans les études stratégiques. Il est également le directeur du centre Al Kinana pour la recherche et les études en Égypte.
|
Source
Elaph (United Kingdom)
Reference “تصريحات شيراك والاستراتيجية الفرنسية النووية”, by Abdel Adim Hanafi, Elaph, January 27, 2006.
Summary During the Cold War, France’s mainly strategy was aimed at destroying the Soviet Union and protecting itself from possible attacks against its territory. However, the end of that world marked the beginning of an important change in the French military strategy. Paris realized that it had to define its military needs for the future. Therefore, the President of the Republic, Jacques Chirac, adopted different measures to modernize the French army and its military arsenal. Likewise, the Republic began to develop its information, communication mechanisms and its special forces.
Thus, the French strategy was consolidated in two central themes: first, to increase its military capacity by increasing the budget with regard to this area. On the other hand, the position of the United States towards the Republic forced it to adopt an independent policy since the moment in which the United States refused to give France American intercontinental missiles. The second theme has to do with the military force of the European Union. France is doing its best to make the European Union surpass the United States in military terms. By the way, all these will allow the Republic to be more independent and to get rid of Washington’s tutelage.
Chirac’s statements with regard to the possible use of a great nuclear arsenal are aimed at reminding that, as in the past, the nuclear issue could have a crucial role in the balance of forces. Thus, nowadays Paris, as other capitals, need to define a policy aimed at guaranteeing the protection in case of war or, if necessary, break it out.
The reaction of the French citizens show up to what point they trust on their government, since not even the organizations that usually advocate for the non use of the nuclear armament have dared to condemn Chirac’s intentions. His threats would force Teheran to negotiate this matter in a serious way, an obligation it has tried to avoid for a long time.

"Chirac and the nuclear matter: stubbornness and intolerance bring about silly things"
Author
Joseph Samaha

 |
 |
Joseph Samaha is the editor in chief of the Lebanese daily in Arabic language As Safir.
|
Source
Newsabah (Irak)
Reference “شيراك «والنووي:التصلب واللاتسامح يقودان إلـــى الاعمـــال الجنـــونـيـة»”, by Joseph Samaha, Newsabah, January 27, 2006.
Summary When giving his speech about the «nuclear» strategy, Jacques Chirac was probably talking to Ahmedinejad. This is the only element that could be considered «new» in his speech for it’s not the first time that the French President speaks of the need of evaluating the nuclear strategy of his country. This new speech of the President coincides with political events that points at the recipients of this message. This can be divided into two parts: one firm; the other, inconstant.
The first part has to do with the fact that the «nuclear» issue is still the heart of the strategic defence of France and of its vital interests. In addition, Chirac had chosen a world system based on the principles of international law and collective security, thus rejecting all unilateral measures that would brake the rules of the United Nations Organization. Likewise, in different moments, Chirac has ratified that the model of the French government allows the President to be the highest authority to make assessments and decisions.
The new thing is that the French Republic must adapt itself to the changes of the international scenario. The first change, if it could be described in such way, is the threat coming from great enemy forces. General De Gaulle based his intention of being militarily independent, within the framework of the Atlantic political coalition, on the nuclear issue. Chirac’s threats can be justified by the existence of radical movements announcing the clash of civilizations, cultures and religions. Therefore, «terrorism» is the new enemy that can be personified in a state. In addition, the characteristic inflation of the world economy, among others, predicts an unstable situation for the coming years.
In view of such circumstances, where force is a real indicator that allows to command and be protected against all kinds of risks coming from abroad, Chirac had no choice but to remind the importance of the nuclear devices France is developing.

"Chirac, from ’pacifism’ to nuclear might"
Author
Umberto Bossi

 |
 |
Ancien ministre italien, Umberto Bossi est le dirigeant du parti politique sécessionniste italien d’extrême droite la Ligue du Nord.
|
Source
La Padania (Italie)
Reference «Chirac, dal «pacifismo» alla grandeur nucleare», by Umberto Bossi, La Padania, January 21, 2006.
Summary After presenting himself as «pacifist» against the war in Iraq, Jacques Chirac shows mechanisms that make the French nuclear might known again. In the same way in which before the attack against Iraq, George W. Bush made emphasis on the national security of Americans, Chirac insisted on the necessary defence of the «vital interests» of France. Vital interests that, as recognized by the head of state, are above all «guarantees of the strategic energy supplies and the defence of allied countries», in a very unpopular and not diplomatic word: oil.
_This demonstration of nuclear might was followed immediately by a correction made by the spokesman of the French Ministry of Foreign Affairs. The new nuclear doctrine of France «is not aimed at any country in particular and is not related to any specific situation.» He added that the use of the military power «still depends on the conditions of the initial strategic scenario,» that is, «it still is a deterrence doctrine.»
This is a useful correction made by a French diplomat who knows very well that France, alone, made 1, 112 underground nuclear tests near the Mururoa atoll, in the South Pacific, between 1975 and 1988. The French «pacifism» of the war against Iraq was nothing but another facet of the power of a France that wants to be present, at all costs, in the international arena, a characteristic sign of a President that, in view of the coming elections, does not want to leave his post.

"Chirac’s nuclear faux pas"
Author
editorial team of the Tehran Times
Source
Tehran Times (Iran)
Reference “Chirac’s nuclear faux pas”, editorial team of the Tehran Times, Tehran Times, January 23, 2006.
Summary Last Thursday, in a speech given to the crew of nuclear submarine «Le vigilant», French President Jacques Chirac showed its terrible and theatrical sense of humour. But nobody laughed, everybody was perplexed.
It was all against the traditional French nuclear doctrine for the President talked about the possibility of a preventive attack against non-nuclear states. What has happened to this moderate, independent and European country and to its leader, who opposed the war against Iraq? The majority of the 350 French nuclear warheads are in submarines in constant alert status as deterrent force to face a possible aggressor. France devotes 10% of its military budget to its nuclear programme, that is, three billion Euros, which is a lot for an indebted country like France. Chirac justifies this expenditures by threatening an imaginary enemy.
Up to now, France had followed the doctrine of mutual assured destruction. Any nuclear attack launched by France would cause the annihilation of the adversary. But this situation has been unlikely since the Cold War. The emergence of non-state actors has modified the geo-strategic game greatly and France looks for another form of deterrence today. Paris has adopted the threat of a limited nuclear war through the use of tactical nuclear weapons. This doctrine is similar to that of President Bush. Thus, Chirac, the leader of a country of the «old Europe» according to Donald Rumsfeld, states that a country accused of launching a terrorist attack against France could be attacked.
His attitude underestimates the use of the nuclear weapons and gives France a dangerous doctrine.

"Chirac, the bomb and terrorism"
Author
Allan Topol

 |
 |
Allan Topol est avocat, éditorialiste et auteur de romans politico-policiers dont les thèmes illustrent à chaque fois l’une des lignes de pensée des think-tanks états-uniens néo-conservateurs. Son dernier roman se passe en Syrie où un général orchestre un plan pour faire de son pays une puissance nucléaire et unifier tout le Moyen-Orient contre les États-Unis et Israël. Son roman précédent démasquait les réseaux d’influence chinoise au sein de l’establishment démocrate à Washington. Allan Topol écrit par ailleurs sur commande pour le site Military.comdirectement financé par le Pentagone, qui l’assiste également dans la rédaction de ses romans.
|
Source
Washington Times (United States)
Reference “Chirac, the bomb and terrorism”, by Allan Topol, Washington Times, January 26, 2006.
Summary During the past years, we have witnessed the emergence of strange positions in Paris’ foreign policy. Despite this, last week everybody was shocked when they listened to the French President stating that his country was ready to use the nuclear weapon against any country that would use terrorism against French interests. Although Jacques Chirac did not mention any particular target, it is not necessary to be a genius to guess that the list includes Iran and other Arab countries of the Middle East.
What’s surprising is the rupture with the conciliatory attitude that Chirac has usually practiced with regard to Iran and the Arab countries. Let’s keep in mind that he was a strong opponent of the war launched by the United States in Iraq. That attitude had benefited the French societies that competed with the companies coming from the countries of the «Great Satan.» What happened? Two important things took place later. First, the civil war in France some months ago which resulted in riots and burned cars all over the country. Such a violence had, upon Chirac and the French government, the same impact September 11 had on the United States.
In his speech, Jacques Chirac said openly that «Radical ideas claiming for the clash of civilizations are spread in many countries.» Mr. Chirac finally understood the problem: the Jihadists try to advance step by step, controlling city after city all over western Europe. As a French diplomat said: «It’s more than a clash of civilizations. It’s a cancer in the heart of our country that, if not controlled, will destroy France completely»[ note: with regard to diplomacy, the author of this phrase is the French extreme right wing political scientist Jean-Marie Le Pen.].
With his statements, Chirac is warning Iran and the Arab countries so that they no longer support and encourage their residents in France to launch attacks similar to those of last year, or plan even worse operations. This attitude reminds that of the American government although we can imagine the scandal that will take place if President Bush dares to speak about the use of nuclear weapons.
Second, the failure of the Europeans – specifically France, Germany and England –with regard to the establishment of an agreement with Teheran to control its nuclear weapons development programme. Up to a year ago, the Bush Administration, having suffered numerous critics related to the destruction of the despotic and threatening regime of Sadam Hussein, had the shrewdness to tell the Europeans: «It’s you who should handle the Iranian crisis.» Europe was involved in the process. After a year, the results are clear. Teheran has done nothing but to confuse and lie to the Europeans who have no concrete achievement to show. Besides, the fanatic leadership in Iran has shown its will to have the nuclear weapon, clearly.
It’s time to act in Washington. Let’s leave the United Nations aside. Russia and China will probably veto any resolution encouraging action. We have to get closer to our European allies; it seems that Chirac is more open to assess the problem with better precision. The recently elected German Chancellor Angela Merkel seems to be closer to the American positions and the English Prime Minister Tony Blair could be convinced.
We must create a consensus with regard to a plan of attack against the Iranian nuclear facilities even when this might provoke a reduction of the Iranian oil production which, consequently, will have a significant impact on western economies. We must act before those crazy people of Teheran get the nuclear weapons.

"Bluff and bravado?"
Author
Arnaud de Borchgrave
Source
Washington Times (United States)
Reference “Bluff and bravado ?”, by Arnaud de Borchgrave, UPI International, January 20, 2006.
“Bluff and bravado?, Washington Times, January 20, 2006.
Summary The threat of French President with regard to the use of the nuclear weapon against delinquent states supporting terrorism, has certainly been welcomed by the tough guys in Paris and Texas but it can not be seriously analyzed. The Jihadists, capable of breaking the glass of the Louvre Pyramid or blowing the Eiffel Tower and the Triumphal Arch to humiliate the French power, seem to have come out of a poor Muslim area of Paris or Marseilles. They could also come from Al Qaeda’s training camps in Iraq, the north of Pakistan or the Taliban zones of Afghanistan. Then, where would Chirac drop the bomb? In Iraq? Not likely. In Pakistan or in Afghanistan? Less likely. Syria or Iran would be the choices then.
France has established interests in these two countries. We could assume that France could order the attack against Syria with nuclear armament but due to the size of the country, Syria could be disappeared off the face of the Earth. The world could live with this scenario, no matter how unlikely it might seem. But, Iran? The oil price would quickly be more than 100 or 200 dollars a barrel, financed-by-Iran terrorist groups would be sent all over Europe and North America to start an unlimited revenge there.
In his speech, Chirac does not mention the most important thing. The necessity to justify before the public opinion the 3.5 billion dollars needed to maintain the nuclear devices, that is, the 10% of the budget of the army devoted to the 350 nuclear warheads. The new doctrine should deter the states that practice terrorism but since September 11 those states have broken their visible links and urge terrorist groups to act on their own. This brings about the emergence of a common axis between transnational terrorism and international crime. The traffic in opium in Afghanistan is aimed at making considerable profits which are shared among the Talibans, Al Qaeda’s leaders and the Pakistani secret services.
Chirac’s dramatic effect goes along with Iran’s extremists. It’s an argument dreamed by the obtuse religious ones who control the way of thinking of new and agitator President Mahmoud Ahmedinejad –the excuse to go on and finish the secret nuclear programme. At the same time, Chirac has just obstructed the AIEA work which expected to see a less intransigent policy in current negotiations in Teheran.

|
|
|
 |
 |
Information base about the 9/11th attacks
Information base about Gulf wars
|
 |