• Realizing that, in the current situation, a war against Syria would degenerate into a World War, Washington is assessing the option of a proxy war, which would remain circumscribed, as during the Cold War. In this context, Washington is considering the creation of an ad hoc military coalition under Arab leadership. A trial balloon was sent by Prince Turki al-Faisal and Ahmed Davutoglu.

• An attack against the French contingent of UNIFIL is portrayed by the Syrian National Council and French intelligence alike as Syrian pressure against France.

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