Social and political sciences Professor at the National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM). His columns on international politics feature regularly in the Mexican daily La Jornada. His latest book is China irrumpe en Latinoamérica: ¿dragón o panda? (Orfila, 2012).
The war in Syria has shown that when it comes to conventional weapons, the US Armed Forces are no longer the top dog. Russia is now in control. Moscow has brought a new resource onto the war pitch: the most recent generation of hypersonic nuclear carriers. This introduction should see Russia getting ahead of the United States in nuclear warfare. Unwilling to lag behind and seeking to make up lost ground, the Pentagon intends to profit - in as much as time remains for it to do so— from its quantitative superiority, to impose its choices on Russia and China.
While the Western Press mocks the Grand Mass of the Chinese Communist Party’s Congress, Alfredo Jalife is taking President Xi’s announcements very seriously. Far from comparing him to an emperor, Jalife sees him as one of the senior officials that have made China “millénaire”. Jalife observes how Xi is following through with the planned Silk Route and is demonstrating his willingness to partner Western investors through a dollar offering. He also comments on the reform of the military’s structure of command with a view to developing it.
Professor Alfredo Jalife-Rahme, reputed to be a leading Latin American expert in geopolitics considers that the UK exiting the EU at the same time India and Pakistan become members of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (OCS) is an acid test, proving that the world is alive. De-globalization is at work.
While the United States on the one hand, and France and Turkey on the other, are trying to reshape the Levant in their own way, Alfredo Jalife-Rahme highlights the continuity between the 1982 Oded Yinon Plan and Moshe Ya’alon’s present-day strategy. While endorsing the vision of both plans, Israel continues to pursue its own balkanization agenda. Historically, Israel has always sought to dismember the countries surrounding her.
For Mexican geopolitical expert, Alfredo Jalife-Rahme, the simultaneity of the events illuminates their meaning: soon after announcing the creation of an alternative to the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, that is to say the dollar, Russia is having to face at the same time the accusation of having downed the Malaysia Airlines jet, the Israeli attack on Gaza backed by US and UK military intelligence, the chaos in Libya and the Islamic State offensive in the Levant. In addition, in each of these war theaters, the fighting revolves around the control of hydrocarbons, which until now were traded exclusively in dollars.
The international search for missing flight MH 370 showed that Washington was able to track the aircraft well beyond what it has admitted so far and that it waited a week before revealing what it knew. The search also showed that China lacks the refuelling ports to deploy its navy over such a large area. But beyond the news item and the respective strategic capabilities that it brought to light, this enigmatic disappearance has made at least some people happy: Blackstone and Jacob Rothschild.
Westerners have underestimated Egypt’s return to the international scene. They have not perceived the failure of "containing" Iran and Tehran’s skilful diplomacy in removing the Muslim Brotherhood from Saudi influence. Alfredo Jalife describes this rapid evolution which changes, in part, the Middle Eastern equation.
The meetings have been coming at high speed for world leaders. After the NATO summit and the G8 in Chicago and just before the Earth Summit in Rio, then the EU summit in Brussels in late June, Alfredo Jalife analyses the G20 meeting that took place in Mexico on 18-19 June. According to him, 2012 is a transition year and the contradictions within this world economic government are too great for it to make any momentous decisions. He invites us instead to turn our attention to the bilateral meetings that were being held in the shadow of the Mexican pyramids.
For Alfredo Jalife, Nicolas Sarkozy’ascent to power in France has considerably weakened Europe and strengthened the Tel-Aviv-London-Washington axis. Now that a new geopolitical balance is forming around new gas delivery routes, will European nations be able to seize the opportunity emerging from these new alliances and will they resist the strategies being implemented by the Israeli-Anglo-American camp ?
Mexican political analyst Alfredo Jalife-Rahme analyzes the recent Pentagon and White House strategic and budgetary options. While an extremist fringe continues to nurture the unaffordable dream of US domination over the entire globe, President Obama and Defense Secretary Leon Panetta, in line with the policy initiated by Robert Gates, recognize the structural decline of U.S. power. Widening the distance from the Bush-Cheney era, they are re-channeling funds towards more realistic goals and gradually re-allocating resources to Asia and China.
The announcement that Russian President Dmitry Medvedev and Prime Minister Vladimir Putin plan to switch positions in March is being portrayed by the international press in terms of personal relations between the two men. For Mexican analyst Alfredo Jalife, reducing Russian policy to these two figures is a ploy by the corporate media to hide what is really at stake: the recovery of Russia’s energy sovereignty and its military rapprochement with the BRICS countries, mainly China.
The existence of vast gas and oil reserves off the coasts of Cyprus, Lebanon, Gaza ... and Israel is no longer a secret. Considering the appetites and methods of the Tel Aviv Government, the possibility of sharing that common wealth appears to be remote. According to Mexican geo-political expert, Alfredo Jalife-Rahme, the question is to know whether Israel will simply resort to stealing the reservers of its neighbours by siphoning them via sophisticated technology, or whether it will seize them by force.
"The world under a microscope"
"The world under a microscope"