An Event and a Regional Tendency

Sharm el-Sheikh summit has been concluded without issuing a joint statement after stormy discussions on President Hosni Mubarak’s call for resuming Palestinian-Palestinian dialogue despite recent events in Gaza and Mubarak’s public support to Mahmoud Abbas and his emergency government.
Available information show that Abbas made changes in the authority’s security structure after Egyptian and US reports that held Mohammad Dahlan, the first security man for the Americans responsible for losing his security organs in Gaza which collapsed quickly despite their military and financial capabilities.
Arab sources talked about available US and Egyptian reports that hint at the involvement of groups related to Dahlan in Sinai explosions under the slogans of weakening relations between Hamas and Egyptian authorities and showing the dangers of Egyptian openness to Ismail Haniyeh’s government at that time.
Olmert and Barak consider that Sharm el-Sheikh summit has succeeded in providing cover for the Israeli army’s operations against Gaza. Here the real taste of the US pressures’ results takes place.
These pressures failed in obliging the international quartet to isolate Hamas due to the clear Russian stand.
Observers say that if Israel faces defeat in Gaza again, many Arab and international sides, including Fath, will change their stands in the few coming weeks, because this battle that Hamas fights to defend Gaza will identify the political balance that surrounds the Palestinian cause, which Washington tries to make it submit to an international Arab alliance that supports Israel, which is similar to the alliance that the US established during the July aggression on Lebanon, last year.

An Event and a Lebanese Tendency

Continuous battles in Nahr al-Bared, and the mobile clashes in the north and Ain al-Hilweh camp with al-Sham soldiers, Fatah al-Islam and Al-Qeada pose a big question on the security condition in the country after revealing the size of the extremist groups’ presence, which are led by multi-national elements, who came to Lebanon via Rafiq al-Hariri’s international airport.
Analysts link exhausting Lebanese army inside the country and on a grand scale, with the pressurizing US-Israeli movements to internalize Lebanese-Syrian borders and authorize the UNIFIL under the seventh chapter under the title of the Lebanese army’s inability to carry out all these missions together.
If this analysis is correct, there is a link between the attack on the UNIFIL and these goals which reflect a new map for Lebanese reality in the face of the possibilities of a new Israeli war on Syria and Lebanon or on the two countries.
The US-Israeli movements aim at besieging Hezbollah and cutting any possible communication with Syria, starting off from US allegations, adopted by the UN Secretary General, which say that weapons flow across the borders to Hezbollah’s stores.
The experts say that authorizing the UNIFIL in accordance with the seventh chapter and internalizing Lebanese-Syrian borders are two necessary measures to facilitate the Israeli army’s movement in any coming aggression on Lebanon, so if Syria decides to implement its warning to Israel, which was issued on last July, it will confront international arrangements that make its step more dangerous. This will also force Lebanese resistance to deal with the complication of the UNIFIL’s new condition in the state of war. This will be accompanied by some Lebanese sides’ commitments to exhaust resistance and facilitate the Israeli plan to terminate Lebanese condition under the title of implementing the resolution 1559 by force.
Experts say the zero hour will start after 3 years that Israel need to rehabilitate its defeated forces, but this war will be decisive and the US and its Arab and international allies prepare the Lebanese theatre for it. This is the meaning of some Lebanese sides’ new talk about changing the rules of engagement in South Lebanon.

Arab Press

Arab press focused on the massacre committed by Israeli forces in Gaza. The Emirate paper Al-Khaleej said in its editorial that this massacre is Olmert’s first gift to Gaza after Sharm esh-Sheik summit.
On the other hand, military analyst of the Israeli paper Yedioth Ahronoth said the Israeli aggression on Gaza aims at driving away Hamas fighters from the fence that surrounds Gaza.
US press agency UBE and other international press agencies said Russian foreign minister Sergey Lavrov, who is currently visiting Israel, vehemently criticized the policy of: Divide and dominate; saying this policy is old and Russia does not believe in it and a divided Palestine will be a problem to Israel and the whole world.
The agencies added that Moscow criticized US-Israeli policies in the Middle East, and that Lavrov said that providing Syria with weapons takes place in accordance with Russia’s international pledges and these weapons are defensive.
The agencies concluded that this Russian stand raised Israel’s deep concern.
The Kuwaiti paper Al-Qabas said that the Kuwaiti government started a new battle to preserve its integration in the aftermath of the minister of communication’s resignation and to confront the results of interrogating minister of oil Sheikh Ali al-Jarrah.

Lebanese Press

Al-Akhbar said representative Saad al-Hariri, informed his legal and security team, with direct support from Walid Jumblatt and Samir Geagea that it should work to prevent the release of any of the four officers before the international tribunal session, because such a step leads to the collapse of March 14 team’s political campaign.
An-Nahar said Spanish officers hold meetings with Hezbollah to cooperate in the case of the explosion that targeted the UNIIFL in South Lebanon.
On its part, As-Safir said the political clashes storm investigations into al-Hariri’s assassination.

International Press

The Israeli paper Ma’ariv said Winograd commission works to publish its final report on July aggression at the beginning of next September, pointing out that the commission will not issue any orders to fire Israeli officials from their positions.
The Israeli paper Yedioth Ahronoth published part of a new book entitled “Captives in Lebanon” The Truth about Lebanon’s Second war, which says that the US administration and some Arab States sent messages to Israel that called for attacking Damascus, while some European sides urged Israel to attack Syria during July aggression on Lebanon.
The book added that Israeli officials, who met Dick Cheney and Donald Rumsfled felt that the US wants Israel to find any pretext for attacking Syria and this demand was renewed during the first days of the war on Lebanon.

Arab Satellite Stations Interviews

Al-Alam.
Program: Covering of News.
Head of the Lebanese national dialogue party Fouad Makhzumi said British prime Minister Gordon Brown will change Britain’s policy towards Iraq at the end of 2007 by reducing the number of British forces their.

Television Stations News in Lebanon

Al-Manar focused on ousting the judicial investigator into Al-Hariri’s assassination case Elias Eid; wondering if this is related to his intended decision to release the four officers. The NTV said Amr Moussa’s soul is still present in Beirut through Michel Murr’s studying of the possibility of activating the Unity government’s formation. The NBN said Paris’s talks opened the way for more internalization and one of its manifestations is the UN team’s report on the Lebanese-Syrian borders. The LBC said files become more complicated in Lebanon, while the Future said the French foreign minister Bernard Kouchner said the conference that France will organize on dialogue between Lebanese sides, will be held between 15 and 16 July.

Television Station’s Interviews in Lebanon

NBN.
Program: Useful Summary.
Foremer Miniter Joseph Hashem said Arab League Secretary General Amr Moussa made contacts before coming to Lebanon and was encouraged to come here, but the absence of trust between the two teams obstructed solutions. He added that Hezbollah will never give up the unity government.